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Tearline: A difficult day in Israel

This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on February 20th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report.

The coffins of the four Israeli deceased hostages in the hands of IDF forces. Source: IDF Spokesperson's Unit.

Introduction

This Geopolitical Report Tearline briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on February 20th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.

Major Themes

  • A Changed Israel: Israelis watched in horror as Hamas paraded four caskets carrying the remains of dead Israelis to Red Cross officials. The caskets had Hamas propaganda on them, and Israeli leadership has strongly condemned the staging of the release. There are now reports of additional Israeli demands for phase two negotiations in light of today's events, which will further complicate an already fragile ceasefire.
  • Shifting US Foreign Policy: The shifting US foreign policy under President Trump, particularly concerning Ukraine and relations with Russia, has been staggering to watch. This includes a reluctance to support a UN resolution backing Ukraine and a willingness to engage with Russia, marking a departure from previous administrations.
  • Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: The threat of terrorism remains significant, with activities spanning from the Middle East to Europe. Counter-terrorism efforts are evident in multiple countries, including Turkey and Somalia.
  • Political Instability and Transitions: Several nations face internal political turmoil, including South Korea, where the former president faces trial, and Niger, where a transition to civilian rule is under consideration.

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