Introduction
This Geopolitical Report Tearline briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on January 16th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of major geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- Israel-Hamas conflict and potential ceasefire: The ongoing conflict remains a central issue, with airstrikes in Gaza resulting in casualties. An Israeli cabinet meeting vote was delayed, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu blamed last-minute Hamas changes. This came as protests against the proposed deal have erupted in Israel, along with threats from National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir saying his Otzma Yehudit party will leave the government coalition.
- Escalating violence in Nigeria: Nigeria is experiencing a surge in terrorist activities, particularly involving Boko Haram. Recent incidents include ambushes on Nigerian soldiers, attacks on civilians, and abductions in various regions, highlighting the persistent security challenges in the country.
- Global terrorism and insurgency: Terrorist activities and insurgencies continue to pose significant threats across multiple regions, including Afghanistan, India, and Pakistan. Notable incidents include explosions, IED attacks, and various terrorist operations.
- International military operations: Several countries are engaged in military operations beyond their borders, including Turkey’s ongoing operations against Kurdish groups in Iraq and Syria, and Russian drone attacks on Ukraine alongside Ukrainian counteroffensive measures.
Key Areas of Interest
- Gaza Strip: Ongoing airstrikes continue, with seven individuals reportedly killed overnight. An Israeli cabinet meeting is scheduled to vote on a potential hostage deal with Hamas, while protests against the proposed deal have erupted in Israel.
- Nigeria: The country faces a severe security crisis due to Boko Haram activities. Recent incidents include ambushes on soldiers, attacks on civilians, and abductions in various regions, highlighting the persistent threat posed by terrorist groups.
- Ukraine: The war with Russia continues to escalate, with both sides engaging in drone warfare and artillery strikes. Ukrainian forces claim significant casualties inflicted on Russian troops and equipment, while Russian drone attacks target civilian areas.
- Syria and Iraq: Turkish military operations against Kurdish groups remain a significant concern, with recent airstrikes and artillery attacks reported in various areas. Syria’s top diplomat has indicated that the country will not allow its territory to be used as a threat against Turkey.
- South Asia: Terrorist activities continue to pose threats in Afghanistan, India, and Pakistan. Notable incidents include explosions, IED attacks targeting security forces, and various terrorist attacks, underscoring the persistent security challenges in the region.
