Introduction
This Geopolitical Report Tearline briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on January 14th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of major geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- Continued Instability in Conflict Zones: Today's reporting highlights persistent violence and instability in ongoing conflict zones like Ukraine, Syria, Sudan, and Myanmar. These ongoing conflicts continue to pose risks to regional and global security.
- Terrorist Activity Remains a Global Threat: Terrorist attacks and operations were reported across multiple countries, underscoring the persistent threat posed by various groups, including Boko Haram in Cameroon, the Azawad Liberation Front in Mali, ISIS in Somalia, and Al-Shabab in Somalia. These attacks and operations highlight the need for continued counterterrorism efforts and cooperation.
- Geopolitical Tensions Persist Between Major Powers: Despite efforts to ease diplomatic relations, underlying tensions remain between major powers, particularly in events involving China, Japan, Russia, and the United States. These events require careful monitoring and strategic decision-making to prevent escalation.
Who is the Azawad Liberation Front?
The Azawad Liberation Front is a newly formed political-military entity in Mali, established by Tuareg rebels in December 2024.
Dr. Corey Stutte
Key Areas of Interest
- Middle East: The situation in Israel remains volatile with Houthi missile strikes, protests against a proposed Haredi draft law, and ongoing hostage negotiations with Hamas, with a deal reportedly close to being done. Lebanon’s new prime minister is focused on asserting state control, particularly concerning Hezbollah’s influence in the south.
- Africa: Cameroon faces persistent threats from Boko Haram. Somalia continues to battle both ISIS and Al-Shabab. Sudan’s internal conflict between the Sudanese forces and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has resulted in significant civilian casualties. South Sudan sees a positive development with the defection of senior SSNRA commanders to the government.
- Asia: Myanmar's conflict continues with the Arakan Army (AA) attacking junta outposts and junta airstrikes hitting villages. North Korea test-fired multiple missiles, raising concerns about regional security. Pakistan's ongoing struggle with the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is highlighted in reports of military operations against the group. China’s military activities around Taiwan continue to raise tensions with Taiwan and its allies.
