Introduction
This Geopolitical Report Tearline briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on January 24th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- Ceasefire Violations and Tensions: Multiple reports detail violations of ceasefires and agreements, particularly in the Middle East. These breaches highlight the fragility of existing agreements and the potential for renewed conflict. In Lebanon, Israel will not withdraw entirely by the 60-day deadline and has conducted strikes. In the Gaza Strip, Hamas has released a list of hostages, which violates the terms of the ceasefire.
- Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: Terrorist activity remains a significant concern globally, with attacks and arrests reported in various regions. There are arrests of suspected ISIS and al-Qaeda terrorists. Counter-terrorism operations have been carried out in several countries.
- Civil Unrest and Protests: Civil unrest continues to be prevalent worldwide, often driven by local and national issues. There are protests about the killing of two young brothers in Mexico, anti-government protests in Serbia, and protests by families of hostages in Tel Aviv.
- Military Conflicts and Border Tensions: Ongoing military conflicts and border tensions remain a significant source of global instability. These conflicts involve a range of actors, including state militaries, rebel groups, and terrorist organizations. Examples of ongoing military conflicts include those in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Myanmar, Ukraine, and Sudan.
Key Areas of Interest
- Middle East: The Middle East is a hotspot of activity with the potential for escalation in conflicts and tensions. Events include ceasefire violations in Israel and Lebanon, UNRWA's forced departure from Jerusalem, and a drone strike in the West Bank.
- Ukraine and Russia: The conflict in Ukraine continues with drone attacks, casualties, and attacks by Russian forces. Russia is also experiencing drone attacks in multiple regions.
- Myanmar: Myanmar is experiencing intensified military conflict between the junta and various insurgent groups. Junta soldiers are also defecting to insurgent groups.
- Africa: There are ongoing conflicts in the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Sudan, and Sudan. Terrorist activity is also a concern in Nigeria.
- South America: Colombia is experiencing violence in the border region and has requested help from Venezuela.
