Introduction
This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from March 1st, 2025, through March 7th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- European Rearmament: Amid concerns over US commitment to global security, particularly regarding aid to Ukraine, Europe is considering plans to increase its military spending and defense capabilities. Proposals include joint EU debt for defense and utilizing France's nuclear deterrent to protect allies.
- Russian Aggression in Ukraine: Russia continues its military offensive in Ukraine, marked by attacks on civilian and energy infrastructure, resulting in casualties and widespread damage. The conflict has led to a pause in US intelligence sharing with Ukraine and discussions about potential peace talks, even as fighting intensifies.
- Escalating US-China Tensions: The relationship between the United States and China is increasingly strained, marked by trade disputes, military posturing, and diplomatic clashes. China has warned it is ready for war with the US in response to tariffs, and China's increasing defense spending and its stance on Taiwan further exacerbate these tensions.
- Middle East Instability: The Middle East remains volatile, with ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Syria, as well as concerns over Houthi attacks in the Red Sea. Efforts to establish ceasefires and deliver humanitarian aid are complicated by political divisions and the involvement of various state and non-state actors.
- Terrorism and Insurgency: Several regions face persistent threats from terrorist and insurgent groups, including Boko Haram in Nigeria, ISIS in Syria and Iraq, and Al-Shabaab in Somalia. Counter-terrorism operations and clashes between rival groups continue, impacting regional stability.
