Introduction
This Geopolitical Report Tearline briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped on February 14th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- Continuing Conflicts: The capture of Bukavu by M23 rebels in the Democratic Republic of Congo, along with ongoing clashes in Ukraine and the increased military activity between the Syrian Democratic Forces and Turkish-backed forces, highlights the prevalence of armed conflict as a key concern.
- Great Power Competition: Tensions between China and the US continue to rise, as seen in China's military actions around Taiwan and the US INDOPACOM's assessment of those actions. The US is also strengthening its military ties with India.
- Terrorism and Insurgency: Terrorist and insurgent activities remain a persistent threat, evidenced by attacks in Mali, Pakistan, and Syria.
- Hostage Situations and Prisoner Exchanges: The complex dynamics of hostage situations are visible through developments in the Gaza Strip, where both Hamas and Islamic Jihad are releasing hostages, while Israel plans to release Palestinian prisoners.
- Cyber and Hybrid Warfare: The cyberattack on the Virginia Attorney General's office and Russia's Wagner group activities in Poland highlight the ongoing threats and techniques used in modern warfare.
- Political Interference and Espionage: Several incidents point to a broader theme of political interference and espionage, including the indictment of a former Taiwanese official for allegedly working with China and the sentencing of Taiwanese military officers for plotting to defect to China.
