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Tearline: Negotiations on Ukraine go nowhere

This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from March 7th, 2025, through March 14th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is briefed on negotiations in Saudi Arabia. Source: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, x.com.

Introduction

This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from March 7th, 2025, through March 14th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.

Major Themes

  • Protracted Conflicts Intensify: Existing conflicts in Ukraine, Myanmar, and Syria continued to escalate, marked by increased military activity, civilian casualties, and the involvement of multiple domestic and international actors. The use of drones and airstrikes as key tactics remains prominent.
  • Rise in Non-State Actor Influence: Terrorist and insurgent groups such as Hamas, FARC, ELN, ADF, ISWAP, Boko Haram, Al-Shabaab, ISIS, NPA, BLA, Arakan Army, KNLA, and others continued to exert significant influence, conducting attacks, controlling territory, and challenging state authority in various regions.
  • Heightened Regional Tensions: Border disputes, territorial claims, and proxy conflicts led to increased tensions in regions such as the Taiwan Strait, the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, and between Israel and its neighbors.
  • Cybersecurity as a Growing Threat: Cyberattacks targeted critical infrastructure and organizations in the United States and South Africa, highlighting the increasing vulnerability to digital threats.
  • Humanitarian Crises Worsen: Civilian populations continued to bear the brunt of conflicts, facing displacement, casualties, and shortages of essential resources, particularly in Syria, Ukraine, Myanmar, and Sudan.
  • Shifting Diplomatic Landscape: The US engaged in direct talks with Hamas, angering Israel, while Russia presented demands for a resolution in Ukraine and rejected ceasefire proposals. Armenia signaled readiness for a peace deal with Azerbaijan, indicating potential shifts in long-standing conflicts.

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