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Tearline: Trump 2.0 and geopolitical uncertainty

This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from January 18th through 20th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report.

President Donald Trump, Source: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Introduction

This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from January 18th through 20th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of major geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.

Major Themes

  • New US Administration: Donald Trump's inauguration and his promise to sign executive orders on various policy areas have created global uncertainty about the future direction of US foreign policy.
  • Fragile Ceasefires: The Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement faces internal challenges within Israel and potential external disruptions from Hamas and Yemen's Houthis.
  • Escalating Violence: Armed conflict persists in Ukraine, Syria, Sudan, and Myanmar.
  • Terrorism and Insurgency: Terrorist attacks and counterterrorism operations continue in various countries, including Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, and Syria.
  • Political Instability: Political tensions and civil unrest escalated in South Korea, the West Bank, and the United Kingdom.

Key Areas of Interest

  • United States: The new Trump administration and its potential impact on global affairs will be a key area to monitor. Trump’s “America First” rhetoric and his plans for executive orders suggest a potential shift away from multilateralism and a more assertive foreign policy. The uncertainty surrounding the new administration’s policies will require careful analysis and engagement.
  • Middle East: The Israel-Hamas ceasefire and its potential impact on regional stability require close monitoring. The situation in Yemen and Iran also warrants attention.
  • East Asia: Taiwan and South Korea raise regional security and political instability concerns.
  • Africa: Ongoing conflict and political instability in Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo pose significant challenges. The spread of terrorist groups across Africa demands continued focus.

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