Introduction
This analytical briefing summarizes key global events collected and mapped from March 29th, 2025, through April 4th, 2025, for the Geopolitical Report. It is intended to provide readers with a concise overview of significant geopolitical developments, emerging threats, and key actors to watch.
Major Themes
- Tariffs and Trade Wars Erupt: US President Donald Trump has imposed tariffs on allies and enemies over the past week. The Trump administration's chaotic rollout of foreign and trade policies will continue to impact financial markets as fears of a global recession rise.
- China's Growing Assertiveness and Regional Power Projection: China's military activities around Taiwan escalated significantly, including large-scale joint military drills and increased naval and air presence. This underscores Beijing's unwavering stance on Taiwan and its growing capacity for regional power projection.
- Persistent Regional Conflicts with Intensifying Tactics: Existing conflicts, particularly in Ukraine, Gaza, and Yemen, witnessed a continuation of hostilities with evolving tactics. Ukraine faced relentless drone and missile attacks while Israel expanded its operations in Gaza. The US also intensified its airstrikes against the Houthis in Yemen.
- The Enduring Threat of Terrorism and Insurgency: Terrorist and insurgent activities remained a significant global challenge, with attacks and arrests reported across various regions, including Burkina Faso, DR Congo, Syria, Iraq, India, Nigeria, and Singapore. The ideological motivations, such as those linked to jihadist groups and far-right extremism, continue to fuel these threats.
- The Expanding Gray Zone: Activities falling short of conventional warfare, such as cyberattacks, espionage, and the use of paramilitary forces, are increasingly prevalent. Cyberattacks targeted critical infrastructure and financial institutions, while espionage activities were uncovered in Europe and Asia.
- Civil Unrest Driven by Political and Socio-Economic Factors: Protests and civil unrest continued to erupt globally, driven by a range of issues, including political grievances, economic disparities, and social concerns. Examples include protests in Israel against the government, farmers clashing with riot forces in Iran over water rights, and protests in support of Greenland in Denmark.
